Why the Definition of Probability Matters

Tags: Calculation and Knowledge, Subjectivism

01/26/2011 Mark R. Crovelli

Human beings do not possess a mystical property of “probability” inside them; rather, they always act on their subjective beliefs and values. Probability in the human world is thus merely a measure of man’s uncertainty about the subjective beliefs and values that influence the actions of other men, writes Mark R. Crovelli.

This audio Mises Daily is narrated by Steven Ng.

The Mises Institute is a non-profit organization that exists to promote teaching and research in the Austrian School of economics, individual freedom, honest history, and international peace, in the tradition of Ludwig von Mises and Murray N. Rothbard.

Non-political, non-partisan, and non-PC, we advocate a radical shift in the intellectual climate, away from statism and toward a private property order. We believe that our foundational ideas are of permanent value, and oppose all efforts at compromise, sellout, and amalgamation of these ideas with fashionable political, cultural, and social doctrines inimical to their spirit.