Inflation

Two days before Christmas, 1913, the infamous "creature from Jekyll Island," the Federal Reserve System, was birthed into our body politic. It has been devouring the economy ever since.

No matter the historical era, governments have excelled at one thing: debasing their own currency. Rome was no exception, as Roman government excesses required inflation—lots of inflation.

Wall Street has convinced itself that the Fed will soon engineer a "soft landing" by bringing down inflation without an accompanying recession. They need to rethink their beliefs.

Central bankers follow inflation "target" in their pursuit of "price stability." Not surprisingly, they usually miss their targets -- quite badly -- and we now are living one of those moments.

Twenty-six years ago, the debate was over whether or not the target inflation rate should be raised from zero to 2 percent. Now we're being told it should be 4 or 6 percent.

Unemployment remains low but for the wrong reasons. Low unemployment rates are not a sign that the economy is doing well.

Long before there was the infamous German inflation of 1923, the Reichsbank created the scenario of monetary debasement.

Wall Street has convinced itself that the Fed will soon engineer a "soft landing" by bringing down inflation without an accompanying recession. They need to rethink their beliefs.

Keynesian economists claim that deflation is as bad or worse than inflation. But deflation not only reverses inflation's bad effects but also allows new wealth creation.

Money supply growth slowed even more in October, and is now back to levels we last saw during the repo liquidity crunch of 2019, and in the days right before the 2007–09 recession.