Odds Are Rising That the Fed Will Trigger the Next Bust
As the Fed "fights inflation" by increasing interest rates, its actions will not produce the hoped-for "soft landing," but rather the hard bust.
Booms and Busts
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The Fed’s “Disinflation” Story Just Flew Out the Window
People are making painful adjustments. What will the Fed do?
The Coming Recession Will Be a Global One
While the Biden White House claims we are on a steady course of prosperity, the more realistic future is that of a global recession.
The Fed’s Portfolio Is Nonexistent: The Fed Does Not Invest. It Destroys Investments
Economists and pundits mistakenly call the Federal Reserve System's security holdings a portfolio. It is anything but.
The Paper Numbers Since The Great Recession
Mark Thornton takes a look back at US stock markets, the national debt, and Fed policy.
You Think the Global Economy Is Brightening? Beware: The Big Hit Is Yet to Come
While President Joe Biden's White House continues to give happy talk about the economy, some major economic storm clouds are brewing. The future does not look good.
Empty Malls and Shopping Centers: How Government Fuels Malinvestments
The empty shopping mall: a story of how government actions created a huge malinvestment in western Pennsylvania.
Record Low Unemployment Indicates Trouble Ahead
Mark Thornton discusses the history of record low unemployment rates and the business cycle.
The Fed’s Portfolio Is Nonexistent: The Fed Does Not Invest. It Destroys Investments
Economists and pundits mistakenly call the Federal Reserve System's security holdings a portfolio. It is anything but.
